Weekly roundup

Hey Alpha's! Here's what's happening this week

Bitcoin dropped 8% in a couple of days and the Fear & Greed Index hit 8. Everyone's panicking again. I'm not — and I'm about to show you why, plus what I've been building to help you stay calm when this happens.

The Market is Oversold. Your Emotions Might Be Too.

Here's what I'm seeing: the market moved 8% down, and fear spiked to an 8 on the Fear & Greed Index. That's Extreme Fear territory. But here's the thing — the sensitivity is way out of proportion to the actual move.

Fear and Greed Index at 8 showing Extreme Fear

When you see this kind of disconnect — small move, huge emotional reaction — it tells me one thing: the market is oversold. People are dumping because they're bored or because they panic-sold, not because the fundamentals broke.

The other signal I'm tracking: our Risk Wave indicator just hit 20.36 — that's a buy regime. Last time it was this low, we saw >40% upside potential. Not financial advice. That's just what the data showed.

Risk Wave indicator at 20.36 in buy regime with historical context

So what did I do? I kept buying. On February 24th, I added to my Bitcoin, Ethereum, and Sui positions. On March 8th, I added to Sonic. Not because I'm brave. Because I had a plan, and the plan said this was the time.

The Real Problem: You're Flying Without Instruments

Here's what I realized this week: most people don't panic because the market moved. They panic because they have no plan. No watch list. No rules. No system telling them what to do when fear spikes.

That's why I've been working hard on a major update to Alpha Factory. This isn't just a new layout. It's a complete system redesign focused on one central hub: My Alpha — your personal command center.

My Alpha dashboard showing Watch List, Portfolio, and DCA Planner integration

Three things connect here:

  • Watch List — This isn't just a normal list. It has an AI system behind it that gives you recommendations, suggestions, and push notifications about what the next move should be based on what you filled in.
  • Altcoin Rules — Your entry and exit criteria, all automated and paired with your watch list.
  • DCA Planner — Dollar-cost averaging on autopilot, synchronized with everything else.

When you set up your watch list, you're not just making a list. You're setting up the entire engine. The AI learns what you're tracking. It sends you alerts when conditions align. It tells you when to move.

Watch List feature showing AI recommendations and notifications linked to Altcoin Rules and DCA Planner

This Week: Build Your Watch List

The market is boring right now. It's easier to leave because you're bored than because you're wrecked. So here's what I want you to do:

Create a watch list. Not a random list of coins you like. A list of coins you actually understand, with clear rules about when you buy, when you take profits, and when you exit.

When Fear & Greed is at 8 and Risk Wave is at 20, you don't need to make decisions in a panic. You already have a system. You already know what you're watching. You already have your DCA plan set up. All you do is execute.

I've set this up so that every piece of information you need — your watch list, your portfolio, your DCA plan — all lives in one place. No guessing. No panic. Just data and discipline.

Market snapshot

So what... sentiment & signals.

Bitcoin dropped 8% in days, Fear & Greed hit 8 (Extreme Fear), but the move is proportionally small. Risk Wave at 20.36 signals a buy regime — historically, when this indicator is this low, we've seen >40% upside.

  • Fear & Greed Index: 8 — Extreme Fear (oversold territory)
  • Risk Wave: 20.36 — Buy regime active
  • Market Phase: Accumulation

Portfolio update

This week's portfolio moves

I added to BTC at $64,000, ETH at $1,850, SUI at $0.86, and SONIC in March. Not market timing — executing a plan when Fear & Greed and Risk Wave align.

See full portfolio →

Co-creation

What's stopping you from building a watch list right now? Is it unclear which coins to track, or do you need help setting up the rules for when to buy and sell?

Reply to this email or join the conversation on The Alpha Factory.

That's it for this week.

P.S. Want more? Check out:

thealphafactory.io — to see what you're missing.